Despite wishful thinking by Democrats and some media outlets that Democrat Bruce Braley had somehow righted the ship in Iowa, a new Quinnipiac poll just out indicates otherwise.
Ernst closes the traditional Democrat gender gap among women down to 50 - 44, while leading among men 56 - 39. Given these kind of numbers, there may not be a turn-out model that works for Braley under any circumstances. Also, he's at risk of being abandoned by the national party that will need to expend resources elsewhere in a tough election year.