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Comment on:
Time For Change
McCain is "electable" VS The electoral map.
8 Comments
Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 9:11 AM
Redhead
writes:
Good round up
And good job getting a TH blog, from a fellow Tennessean!
I think that it is McCain's to lose. People are going to catch on to Obamamama's tricks, sooner or later (won't they? People aren't really that dumb. Are they?)
I still can't find a solid, compelling reason to give McCain my vote, though.
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Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 12:06 PM
BrianR
writes:
Welcome to the wonderful
world of blogging.
Excellent analysis. This is the numbers breakdown the McCainiacs and other GOP-uber-alles types want to stick their heads in the sand about.
Reality check for them: in an era when a few hundred votes in a couple of precincts in one or two states determines the outcome of the presidential election, any GOPer candidate who doesn't have the conservative bloc at his back is a cooked goose.
Ask Bush 1 or Dole.
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Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 12:52 PM
Tom
writes:
Scary Numbers!
MSM is always interested in a "horse race," so it makes sense that they would continue to say McCain is ahead, or the race is close.
If he's interested in picking up Hillary's girls, wouldn't you think he'd point out the fact that he pays his female staffers more than he pays the men; and there are more women than men who work for him? Obama pays only one woman $100,000; all women who work for him (I think it's a grand total of 6) make less than any of the men.
You just have to scratch your head at how he misses opportunity after opportunity to say or do something that would help him win.
Obama's speech today on Iraq and Afghanistan is going to fool a lot of people who might have begun to see through him.
McCain may be relying heavily on the military vote; but by this time the dems may have formulated a better, less obvious plan to keep them from being counted. Vote Republican down-ticket and pray!
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Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 3:13 PM
TNconservative
writes:
Thanks for your comments.
Redhead
Thank you. I really don't see Obama win either. But I think McCain's polls in states looks very very bad for him. People who support McCain are going to have to come up with a plan soon. I like you can't find a reason to vote for McCain.
BrianR
Thank you for your commments. I agree completely. McCain at this point looks a lot like a cooked goose. Maybe it is because hefought conservatives on Amnesty, water boarding, embryonic research funding and many other leftist views.
Tom
Thank you for your comments. The MSM has certianly been part of this. They know McCain is in this trouble. Still they say it is so close.
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Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 3:33 PM
TNconservative
writes:
Obama states.
I think it is fair to say that Obama is likely to win California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jeresy, Delaware, Maryland, Vermont, Maine, New York, Pennsylvania, and DC.
Do you think Obama is likely to win those 19 states plus DC?
That makes a total of 255 electoral votes.
Only 15 electoral votes away from 270.
If McCain can't win Ohio its over. Even if McCain wins Ohio but loses Colorado, and Indiana its over. Even if McCain wins all those states but loses New Mexico and Missouri its over. If McCain won all those states but loses Virginia and Montana it would be over.
The McCain people better start thinking.
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Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 5:34 PM
not ashamed to be right
writes:
Tn Conservative,
Do not apologize for thinking that the numbers are boring. They were quite insightful to me, and I appreciated the breakdown state by state.
As a Coloradoan who has seen the recent slide of this once proud conservative state to the left (we now have a triple play with Governor, House, and Senate Dems in majority) I am concerned this state's electoral votes could very well end up for Obama (pause while I gag here.)
Plus the fact that we have the Dem Convention right around the corner, massive numbers of Californians moving here, increasingly large numbers of urban Denver/Boulder area libs,a Governor who likes to pretend he's a moderate Democrat, one long time Republican Senator retiring while the other one toes the far-left party line...there is good reason for concern.
The only reason I ever thought McCain could win (without the votes of millions of conservatives) would be because of center Democrats who would refuse to support Obama, but I am not so sure that these people would ever vote for a Republican when it actually came down to it.
I know it is just a fantasy, but IF ONLY McCain would be dumped at the convention. I think the resurgence of the conservative movement then and there would blow the roof off the place before the GOP realized what hit them. Too bad they are either blind or want to lose.
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Tuesday, July, 15, 2008 11:38 PM
Greg B, SD
writes:
I admire your perseverance
and your thoughtful analysis.
I have no patience with the idiot McCainiacs; consequently, I quit posting a few months back. The arguments grew tiresome, and God knows I'm not gonna change my mind about McCain...no matter how inept or stupid Obama appears. Vote Barr or Baldwin.
The ONLY thing that will "save" this country is conservatism. McCain is the anti-conservative. If he's elected, that'll be the death blow for conservatism...and the country.
Keep hammerin' the idiots!
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Wednesday, July, 16, 2008 4:19 AM
TNconservative
writes:
Quite right you are.
Not ashamed to be right,
You are quite right about McCain. I really wish we could have a decent conservative rather than him too. Someone like Duncan Hunter would be very nice. I know it stinks to have democrats and liberals in your state. Here in TN most democrats go liberal because they know many people are going to vote democrat no matter what. Democrats are often very partisan regardless of issues and that is why I think all of this talk of democrats supporting McCain is pretty much just wishful thinking. Maybe some, but I would doubt many. Thank you for your comments.
Greg B, SD,
Thanks for your comments. I agree with you about McCain. When people say they are afraid of Obama, I want to ask them why they are not afraid of McCain. I mean yeah Obama is bad. McCain is too. I am not at all certain that McCain would nominate good judges. McCain has a very bad record on that. And they talk about how much Obama has flipped, true, but McCain has flipped just as much. Thanks again for your comments.
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