10/3/2007 10:22:47 AM - Matt Lewis
I got this email from a former Reagan aide, and thought it was informative ...
I noted your scoop about the third party threat from social conservatives. You might review the history of the "Manhattan 12," a dozen or so conservatives who "suspended" their support for Richard Nixon in 1971. The concerns back then were primarily economic and foreign policy as opposed to social. Also, the candidate who emerged from this, John Ashbrook, ran a marginal race for a couple of primaries against Nixon and then dropped out. The lesson is: without a strong candidate, these protest movements can have a limited impact. I'm not sure how much reach Roy Moore has. We know Alan Keyes is not a serious candidate.