When a state shifts along party lines it never happens overnight. Only in rare occurrences can a presidential candidate dramatically change voter turnout (e.g. North Carolina, 2008). Yet this narrative has become a popular topic recently as politicians look towards the upcoming elections.
News broke last week that Democrats could stage a potential takeover of two Republican stronghold states, Arizona and Texas, before the 2016 presidential election. Key strategists pointed to an increasingly diverse population and the impending amnesty deal that would allow over 900,000 Hispanics to vote. The staggering numbers aren’t necessarily tied to Democrat votes, as critics quickly claimed, citing a low turnout among Hispanic voters in addition to an increase in conservatism with Texas/Arizona residents.
While Democrats celebrate a far off victory in the Lone Star state, there is potential trouble looming in a stronghold of their own, in California. The Wall-Street Journal reports that over 3.4 million people (net average) emigrated from California to other states. And the migrants aren’t wealthy conservatives either:
“Most of California's outward-bound migrants are low- to middle-income, with relatively little education: those typically employed in agriculture, construction, and manufacturing. Their median household income is about $40,000—two-thirds of the statewide median—and about 95% earn less than $80,000. Only one in 10 has a college degree, compared with 30% of California's population. Roughly 40% of the people leaving are Hispanic.
Even while California's Hispanic population has grown by more than 1.5 million since 2005, thanks to high birth rates and foreign immigration, two Hispanics have moved out for every one that has moved in from another state.
It's not unusual for immigrants or their descendants to move in pursuit of a better life. That's the history of America. But it is ironic that many of the intended beneficiaries of California's liberal government are running for the state line—and that progressive policies appear to be what's driving them away.”
High energy and labor costs have pushed workers away, killing jobs and forcing lower-class families to stay dependent on social welfare programs. California is also one of the highest costs of living states, which has led to a rise in companies taking their business elsewhere. Even if a family makes the decision to move inland, where rent/housing prices aren’t as high, unemployment hovers around 15%, further hampering economic growth.
Democrats that are focused on stealing Texas and Arizona might want to refocus their attention on California, where residents are tired of living off welfare in a system of dependency that’s been created by the state’s government.
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