In response to:

The Reliability of Polls - and Polling Experts

wsmith-84 Wrote: Oct 30, 2012 12:53 AM
Better than a pedophile, right wilford? I find it hysterical that ANYONE thinks I'm a big Obama supporter. I guess if you possess simple binary brain function in a black and white Manichean world, everything must be either 'a' or 'b'. Real people don't think that way - that appears to be unique to Town Hall nutters.
There has been just about one constant up for discussion in an electoral season filled with tumultuous polling: Nate Silver.

Nate Silver is the statistician and poll-watching guru who rose to prominence in 2008 by developing a poll aggregation model that correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in that year's presidential contest. He has since been hired by the New York Times and gained more prominence with his up-to-the-minute analysis on new polls and the state of the presidential race.

Conservatives have attacked Silver relentlessly for his model that predicts that President Obama with a 70%+ chance to win...