In response to:

The Reliability of Polls - and Polling Experts

Ward3 Wrote: Oct 29, 2012 11:27 PM
Another line of thinking I've had about this genius Nate Silver is: -He predicted 49-50 in a single election. Big whip, did anyone get less than say 45-46 states right? It was a landslide election & it was no surprise that it was on election day. At best, Silver simply weighted the most pro-Democrat polls that year more heavily to get to the narrow predictions of Obama winning Indiana and North Carolina. Other than those 2, were any others really in doubt in 2008? I'll take his predictions over that of Rasmussen & Gallup when he has managed to be right in elections consistently over 2 decades. One election prediction doesn't make it some full proof proven model by any means. I have a feeling Mr. Silver will be finding that out in a week
There has been just about one constant up for discussion in an electoral season filled with tumultuous polling: Nate Silver.

Nate Silver is the statistician and poll-watching guru who rose to prominence in 2008 by developing a poll aggregation model that correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in that year's presidential contest. He has since been hired by the New York Times and gained more prominence with his up-to-the-minute analysis on new polls and the state of the presidential race.

Conservatives have attacked Silver relentlessly for his model that predicts that President Obama with a 70%+ chance to win...