NPR's national poll released today had a D+7 Sample and still finds Romney ahead by 1. Given that this election is likely to be evenly Split or slightly Republican as far as the actual vote goes I would say Obama is in for a Carter like beatdown next Tuesday. It's easy to see that the underlying assumptions of these polls are a far cry from reality with the early voting totals that are known and the enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans this cycle. I'm sticking with Romney 52-47 and at least 295 in the EC but possibly as high as 337 if it turns into a severe blowout which I think is possible but not likely. I don't see any path for Obama barring a major shift in the next 7 days. Only decision now is which Champagne to celebrate with next Tues
Editor's Note: I posted this analysis in Hot Air's green room late last night, and I thought so folks over here might find it -- shall we say -- marginally interesting. One week until election day:
This data point was flagged by Breitbart's John Nolte, who was initially thrown off by the mundane, nothing-to-see-here headline, "In US, 15% of Registered Voters Have Already Cast Ballots." But then there's this, fresh from Gallup:
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