In response to:

Lies, Darned Lies, and Polls

Wally123 Wrote: Nov 03, 2012 2:12 PM
I was going to make a comment but then I saw that HistoryLover at 10:06 expressed what I was going to say only better. Read his comments. Then I also noted Ghostwriters 2 comments at 7:51 and HistoryLovers replies at 10:31 and 10:55. Wow, HL really hits the nail on the head. More proof that most of the MSM are radical left wingers. Thank goodness for conservative websiites like TownHall, National Review, etc.where we can at least get the truth.

How accurate are the polls? Is there one gold standard out there? Are they all biased and skewed tools of partisan media?

For my money, the most reliable polling data is the Real Clear Politics polling average.

In 2008, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted Barack Obama to defeat John McCain by 7.6 points. Obama won by 7.3 points. In 2004, the final Real Clear Politics polling average predicted George W. Bush to defeat John Kerry by 1.5 points. Bush won the election by 1.5 points.

That’s called nailing it.

Worth noting is which...