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Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

ValerieParneau Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 12:35 AM
If there was any ever question that Nate SIlver was smarter than Goldberg this nonsense of a piece erases all doubt.
The Original King Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 2:03 AM
yeah, I really started watching these figures closely toward the end. Silver has to be the biggest election night winner in the country next to Obama. As for Goldberg, he can join the long list of conservatives with egg on their faces. One other for D. Morris, if Fox had ANY self respect at all, they would ban his "wisdom" from the airwaves.

In the last week or so, an intense kerfuffle broke out over the poll-prognosticator Nate Silver and his blog at the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight. Silver, a statistician, has been predicting a decisive Obama victory for a very long time, based on his very complicated statistical model, which very, very few of his fans or detractors understand.

On any given day, Silver might have announced that -- given the new polling data -- "the model" was now finding that the president had an 86.3 percent chance of winning. Not 86.4 percent, you fools. Not 86.1 percent, you Philistines. But 86.3 percent,...