Outsider, RE: "If Illinois was close, then under the EC it would be HUGE if Chicago put the Dem over the top."
You're probably too young to remember, but Chicago actually did "put the Dem over the top" in 1960. It was John F. Kennedy. I'm not making this up; it's a well known fact. And it's not just Chicago that has corrupt voting; Philly is just as bad, though on a smaller scale.... and many other large-democrat-machine cities are the same way. The feds have been paying lip service to cleaning it up since I was a little boy. They haven't done it yet, and I have no reason to believe it will happen any time soon.