Two things all those pundants calling a close election are not weighting sufficiently: First, the Tea Party. In every election since 2008 except for two, where the Tea Party candidate was behind as much as 5 pts, they went on to win by 5 to 10 pts. Second, what is the anomaly about the Reagan elections that historians still marvel at, and hasn't been repeated since? It's the Reagan Democrats. Well these polls are asking people their party preferance, and even if a Democrat isn't going to vote for Obama, and millions won't, they're still Democrats. I predict a new catagory not perceived in the polls: the Romney Democrats. These are loyal party members that are appalled by the anti business, anti prosperity policies of this administration.