The only polls where Obama is significantly ahead are the ones that oversample democrats by 7 points and more which is larger than what he got at his peak 4 years ago! Not even the most wishful Obama operatives think they will come anywhere close to that, and Gallup actually projects the electorate this year to be R+1.
What's more, the very same skewed polls that place Obama ahead are still showing him losing independents by large margins. This means he would need an even bigger turnout of his base than he got in 2008 and that simply isn't happening.
We're at a point where Obama is forced to send Biden to Pennsylvania and Clinton to Minnesota to defend traditionally blue states that haven't voted Republican in decades! Don't buy MSM's BS.