Wow! If you believe that, you are in for a real shock Tuesday.
This is a wave election and that wave is a Romney-Tsunami. If Obama was such a shoo-in, he would not be having to campaign in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. He would not be having to by $1.5 million in advertising in Pennsylvania.
Obama has already lost most of the so-called "battleground states." As long as the DRI on all these polls you are reading remains at D+8, the ground on which you stand is jello.