CircleJerk Wrote:
Oct 31, 2012 11:56 AM
"...Given all the available information – Romney’s lead among independents, the outlier nature of the 2008 turnout model, the elections held since 2008, the party ID surveys, the voter registration, early voting and absentee ballot data – I have to conclude that there is no remaining path at this late date for Obama to win the national popular vote. He is toast." http://www.redstate.com/2012/10/26/why-i-think-obama-is-toast/ Seems solid enough to refute Nate Silver's forecast.