I think that if Obama is at 48 or under in any state, that he will lose that state. I believe that if the most recent Rasmussen PA. senate race is accurate, then Smith has a good chance at winning. Casey should be getting more support in PA. than Obama, so Romney could be in good shape and have a shot in PA. I see a lot of Romney signs where I live, but I live in a mostly republican area. Let us hope that the democrats think that Casey and Obama are in good shape and do not spend money. They could be in for a major shock come election day.