It just occurred to me that Obama's October surprise has been has been somewhat like Lt. General Charles Cornwallis' experience in the south during the American Revolution. The first debate was Obama's Battle of the Cowpen's --a complete collapse brought on by over confidence in the face of a competent and skillful opponent. In the second debate Obama won on points like Cornwallis' won the Battle of Guilford Court House. Obama had at that point shot his wad and burned up his supply train. His all in effort was a Pyrrhic victory. "Another such victory would ruin" Obama. Sure enough he turned in a snaky UN-presidential performance in the third debate winning on points and loosing strategic ground.