An easy prediction is the unemployment rate announced on Nov 2 will be 7.4% +/- a tenth or so. The model Team Obama is following is outlined in the Washington Post article of July 6, 2012, "The most important chart of the 2012 election" by Chris Cillizza. See the comparison chart where they trace the Reagan years to Obama. Team Obama are simply using all the levers they have to replicate each of what they noodle out as the themes prior Presidents used to win in "tough economic" times. Even the Dole is a Dark Demon theme. 7.3 to 7.6% The ad have already been cut and will be delivered Friday morning to the media for the final three day push. It's a no-lose situation for them. Even if later "revisions" jump the numbers upwards.