I am not a big believer in polls; especially in our current environment, because they are so skewed by various things. First, my common sense and my gut are telling me… Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. You can add to that those that were going to vote for McCain but didn’t vote at all (like my wife), but will this time around.
But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now and that is bad news for Obama. Second, those that supported and voted for Obama in 2008 just cannot bring themselves to admit making a mistake.