CalGTR Wrote:
Sep 14, 2012 2:06 PM
Actually, sort of. That poll was taken right after the dem convention, when everybody showed a bump for Obama. Let's wait to see what next week's fox poll shows. And yes, that fox poll shows an oversampling of democrats. To believe that poll, you'd have to assume that people are everybit as excited about Obama now as they were 4 years ago, and there has been a huge amount of polling to show that that just isn't going to be the case this year. Instead of a +7D year, we're probably looking at a +1D or +2D year. 2010 was even between R and D, but of course that was not a presidential election year. So, most folks figure somewhere between 2010 and 2008. If it's somewhere in the middle, Mitt looks real good.