Here is how I do the polling for my own gut feelings. Look around you to the people you have known for several years. This is not a scientific poll. Obviously the people you know don't well represent the national composition, no individual locality does. But on the other hand such a poor cross-section of people do often reflect shifts in political moods. In my region it is definitely a shift against Obama. No one is enthusiastic about Romney, but a lot of people that wanted to give Obama a chance in 2008 don't want him for another presidency. I'm in the reddest of states, Obama didn't carry a county in my state. But the shift is what matters and that seems significant in 2012.