Watching the polls daily will drive anyone nuts. To think any state could move 13 points almost overnight is simple silliness. It is clear that O is in over his head, but the blacks and "poor" of this country will re-elect him because he will continue to give them what they want without their needing to go work and earn it.
If we are ever to get spending under control it will have to involve entitlements, like it or not. And it will require a change in thinking about budgeting. We need a zero-based budget, not one that allows an automatic 2% increase each year. A 2% automatic increase adds 40 billion before discussions ever start. So a negotiated decrease of 25 billion may sound good, but it doesn't decrease a thing.