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Considering a Departure in North Korea's Strategy

Tom in Delaware Wrote: Mar 13, 2013 7:32 AM
The threat of a massive artillery strike on Seoul is not what it used to be.....it would not take the US Air Force 'days' to eliminate the threat.....with modern GPS and advanced counter-battery fire it would only be a matter of minutes to destroy the North's guns.....in most cases, unless the South is caught completely by surprise, the NORK artillery wouldn't even get off a second shot.....just ask the Iraqi's.
Bob558 Wrote: Mar 13, 2013 12:24 PM
You know, that is exactly what I was thinking.

Then I read the last two paragraphs.

This isn't about what is or isn't possible in such a scenario. This is about letting NK know what we're prepared for. Letting him think they might have a day or so to 'sue for peace' while shelling Seoul is stroking Kim (whatever the potbelly little fool's other names are) 's ego. Even while letting him know that we know. Since the red phone is down, there's really few alternatives left. Email isn't secure, but public information is hard to tamper with, since it can be multiple sourced.

And you can be sure this can't be hidden by his people. He's an internet hound. He'll see it.

And when he does, he may just have a 'moment of clarity'.

On Jan. 29, I wrote a piece that described North Korea's strategy as a combination of ferocious, weak and crazy. In the weeks since then, three events have exemplified each facet of that strategy. Pyongyang showed its ferocity Feb. 12, when it detonated a nuclear device underground. The country's only significant ally, China, voted against Pyongyang in the U.N. Security Council on March 7, demonstrating North Korea's weakness. Finally, Pyongyang announced it would suspend the armistice that ended the Korean War in 1953, implying that that war would resume and that U.S. cities would be turned into...

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