In response to:

Polls: Ties in MI, MN, NH, OH, PA

TNconservative Wrote: Nov 04, 2012 8:48 PM
I think Romney stands a good chance. Before the debates, I didn't think that he did at all. I still think that a more conservative choice would be higher in the polls right now. They say the matter of winning Ohio will be rather or not rural Ohio shows up to vote. That tells me that a strong conservative is the key to winning Ohio. But hopefully they will turn out for Romney anyways. We will see. One thing I will says about Romney is I don't think he will let the democrats steal from him, so I am hoping that voter fraud will be prevented, and if it is, I think that is good for the republicans any day. At this point, I would not be surprised to see Romney win it after all, but I wouldn't be too surprised either way. I hope Obama loses.

Kevin's covered most of the national numbers; here's a quick rundown of last-minute state polls:
 

Michigan - A Fox 2 Detroit poll has Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama by a fraction of a point, rounded-up to 48/47.  The sample is D+9, which is pretty reasonable for the state.  A few other polls have shown this race close, but most surveys give Obama the edge.  Definitely a heavy lift for the GOP ticket.

Minnesota - On the heels of an eye-opening Star Tribune poll showing the race within the margin of error last...