In response to:

Rove: Romney's Going to Win

Tinsldr2 Wrote: Nov 01, 2012 4:29 PM
Nana82 Wrote: 6 minutes ago (3:59 PM) I'm confused again... Romney is ahead with married women. Romney is ahead with men. Romney is ahead with independents. How in the heII can Obama be ahead? ............................. Poll samples..... For example a poll in OH found Obama ahead by 4% (with a 3.7% margin of error) They surveyed 43% Dem 35% Rep and 21% Indy So with 8% more Dems surveyed they get a 4% Obama lead. .......
Tinsldr2 Wrote: Nov 01, 2012 4:31 PM
The other thing that is a real concern is the Gary Johnson and other votes/

In some states that is as high as 2%. In states like VA and OH, the dope smoker vote could conceivably be the difference in the election.
Smitty41inPB Wrote: Nov 01, 2012 4:37 PM
within 70% likely the demographics will be D+1, even or R+1, 25% R+2 or better and 5% D+2 or better

so when u look at polls of D+13 realize they have no value, or just take them and shave 12-14 pts off D totals

Nana82 Wrote: Nov 01, 2012 4:38 PM
Yeah, guys like Winnie could elect Obama for four more!

I swear I will never speak to anyone who enables that.

In his final pre-election Wall Street Journal column, Karl Rove makes some fearless predictions about what we'll see next Tuesday night.  As you browse through his thoughts, bear in mind that he didn't earn his "architect" moniker by accident.  On the current polls:
 

It comes down to numbers. And in the final days of this presidential race, from polling data to early voting, they favor Mitt Romney. He maintains a small but persistent polling edge. As of yesterday afternoon, there had been 31 national surveys in the previous seven days. Mr. Romney led in 19,...

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