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Polls: All Tied Up, With Emerging Romney Advantages

Tincan844 Wrote: Oct 08, 2012 8:50 PM
Pew shows Romney up 49 to 46 with momentum still going in his favor with likely voters. There is still a big underestimate of conservative votes, because many conservatives no longer will respond to polls and the turn out adjustments are still unrealistic in favor of Obama.
rhinegarten Wrote: Oct 08, 2012 8:54 PM
Interesting - with this lead taking the better part of a week to develop and report on it's highly likey it'll have some real staying power.

Many of us assumed Mitt Romney would earn a considerable polling bounce following his debate victory last week.  Early indications were that the Republican made a splash in some key swing states, and now it looks as though a national bounce has emerged.  The question is whether this phenomenon represents a flash in the pan or a more lasting shift in public opinion.  Let's examine three new polls and see what conclusions we might be able to draw:

(1) Rasmussen - The race is tied, 48/48, among likely voters.  For those Americans who are locked...