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The Reliability of Polls - and Polling Experts

The Sloandog Wrote: Oct 29, 2012 10:44 PM
Heh...Id love to play poker with some of these stupid trolls...InTrade,lol.They always take the easy money before they change the odds.
There has been just about one constant up for discussion in an electoral season filled with tumultuous polling: Nate Silver.

Nate Silver is the statistician and poll-watching guru who rose to prominence in 2008 by developing a poll aggregation model that correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in that year's presidential contest. He has since been hired by the New York Times and gained more prominence with his up-to-the-minute analysis on new polls and the state of the presidential race.

Conservatives have attacked Silver relentlessly for his model that predicts that President Obama with a 70%+ chance to win...