In response to:

Polls: Ties in MI, MN, NH, OH, PA

The Sloandog Wrote: Nov 04, 2012 8:05 PM
Polls,polls,polls! The only poll I trust is The Sloandog Poll and it has Mitt up by 7points here in Florida. I also just came back from Pa and The Sloandog Poll has it dead even up there, way different attitude from last years visit. Confidence is high!

Kevin's covered most of the national numbers; here's a quick rundown of last-minute state polls:
 

Michigan - A Fox 2 Detroit poll has Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama by a fraction of a point, rounded-up to 48/47.  The sample is D+9, which is pretty reasonable for the state.  A few other polls have shown this race close, but most surveys give Obama the edge.  Definitely a heavy lift for the GOP ticket.

Minnesota - On the heels of an eye-opening Star Tribune poll showing the race within the margin of error last...