In response to:

The Particulars of Polls

StillStandingHisGround Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 12:36 PM
magnetar: Regarding your response to my replies to anonymous's 11:54am post: pictures of this $35 million estate have already appeared on the Internet. I agree that the Obamas can't afford such a palace based on their current assets, but I wouldn't be surprised if Pritziker lined up some financial backing to allow the Obamas to purchase such a palace. And perhaps she was able to swing it based on an expectation of Obama's future earnings even if he is only a one-term president.
magnetar Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 12:41 PM
thanks Stil Standing, you are most likely correct. Still, unphuckingbelievable.
StillStandingHisGround Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 12:39 PM
magnetar redux:

But assuming this report is true, as I believe it to be, then this tells ME that Obama would rather go for the sure thing of a plush post-presidential life even if he's only a one-termer than try a putsch and risk his post-White House digs being a prison cell, a coffin, or some hidey-hole in the Third World (like North Korea), any of these options meaning that he very definitely WON'T be living the good life after his current gig is up.

As tuttletacoma has often posted on this possibility, Obama is too lazy and lacks the stones to try a violent revolution to stay in power, and that while he would happily accept a dictatorship that OTHERS had engineered for him, he won't stick his OWN neck out to do what HE'D have...
StillStandingHisGround Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 12:41 PM
magnetar redux redux:

To finish my thought:

As tuttletacoma has often posted on this possibility, Obama is too lazy and lacks the stones to try a violent revolution to stay in power, and that while he would happily accept a dictatorship that OTHERS had engineered for him, he won't stick his OWN neck out to do what HE'D have to do by his OWN hand to make it happen.

The purchase of this estate would tend to add a LOT of confirmation to tuttletacoma's claim.
magnetar Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 12:43 PM
Boy scout motto comes to mind.."Let's hope for the best and prepare for the worst"
As a recovering pollster (I worked for Democratic pollster Peter Hart from 1974 to 1981), let me weigh in on the controversy over whether the polls are accurate. Many conservatives are claiming that multiple polls have overly Democratic samples, and some charge that media pollsters are trying to discourage Republican voters.

First, some points about the limits of polls. Random sample polling is an imprecise instrument. There's an error margin of 3 or 4 percent, and polling theory tells us that one out of 20 polls is wrong, with results outside the margin of error. Sometimes it's easy to spot such an...