In response to:

Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

ScienceOrMagic Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 11:25 PM
He's a statistician who analyzes polls and makes statistical predictions on the outcome of elections based on the results of those polls.
Whois_AndrewRyan Wrote: Nov 08, 2012 5:48 AM
That sounds like typical pinko communist witchcraft to me. The only one who knows the outcome of things is God. And he lives in Texas.

In the last week or so, an intense kerfuffle broke out over the poll-prognosticator Nate Silver and his blog at the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight. Silver, a statistician, has been predicting a decisive Obama victory for a very long time, based on his very complicated statistical model, which very, very few of his fans or detractors understand.

On any given day, Silver might have announced that -- given the new polling data -- "the model" was now finding that the president had an 86.3 percent chance of winning. Not 86.4 percent, you fools. Not 86.1 percent, you Philistines. But 86.3 percent,...