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LOL: New Poll Shows Obama Ahead By Ten Points...with a D+19 Sample

RWConservative75 Wrote: Aug 02, 2012 5:28 PM
So in a truly balanced poll, this would equate to almost the exact opposite - with Romney leading with what - about 6 to 13 point lead on Obama? Math people - what do you make of the skewing of this math? Am I right in thinking that the way these polls are skewed, this should actually be showing Romney leading anywhere from 6 to 13 points over Obama?
anderson659 Wrote: Aug 02, 2012 5:31 PM
It would depend too on where you sample a poll from. Pick states from the southwest, south and anything in between the coasts, and your sample is instantly skewed.

Romney is winning at least 40 states, Obama is carrying both coasts and possibly a mid west state besides his home state.
PurpleStateBlueVote Wrote: Aug 02, 2012 5:40 PM
Why not 50?

I can't WAIT to quote this right back at you on Nov. 6!
RWConservative75 Wrote: Aug 02, 2012 6:15 PM
Anderson, if what you are sayin is true, even if Oboma would take the top 10 electoral states, he would only have 256 electoral votes (needed 270). But that 256 also includes, Texas (38), GA (16), and NC (16), in all these states are already strong Republican. Therefore, Romney is looking at around, ohh a huge landslide win in the Electorit.

Top ten electoral states:
CA 55
TX 38
FL 29
NY 29
PA 20
IL 20
OH 18
MI 16
GA 16
NC 15
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256 = Obama's max total electoral votes,
Likely Obama losses of top ten: – (TX) 38 – (GA) 16 –(NC)15 = 217.
Given Obama will pick up onesy’s, twosy’s here and there, I’d guess Obama will end up with about total of 237 +/- 10.

This is laughable:
 

Currently, 51% say they support Obama or lean toward him, while 41% support or lean toward Romney. This is largely unchanged from earlier in July and consistent with polling over the course of this year. Across eight Pew Research Center surveys since January, Obama has led Romney by between four and 12 percentage points. Obama holds only a four-point edge (48% to 44%) across 12 of this year’s key battleground states. While the data does not allow a state-by-state analysis, the overall balance of support in these closely contested states has remained...

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