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In response to:

Romney Momentum in Swing States

ResistWeMuch Wrote: Oct 19, 2012 5:28 PM
"Even he said it doesn't matter what O seem to not get a bounce even with his Romney-shia speech..." Hey, I'll take Romnesia if it makes me forget the last 4 years! "We've always been at war with Romnesia."
Considering the fact that the Southern Poverty Law Centre has named Malik Zulu Shabazz, the leader of the New Black Panther Party, as one of the "30 New Activists Heading Up the Radical Right," (yes, you read that right), I'm surprised he isn't. /s 30 New Activists Heading Up the Radical Right http://www.splcenter.org/get-informed/intelligence-report/browse-all-issues/2012/summer/30-to-watch Malik Zulu Shabazz http://www.splcenter.org/get-informed/intelligence-files/profiles/malik-zulu-shabazz
In response to:

Romney Momentum in Swing States

ResistWeMuch Wrote: Oct 19, 2012 4:12 PM
Hey, remember the afternoon on election day 2004 when Kerry soared into the 90s on Intrade and Bush crashed to near 0? Intrade is driven by CW and we've seen how accurate that has been in the last few years. BTW, I don't bet on Intrade, but from what I understand from people that do, 55-high 60s is the equivalent of a 2.5 point/homefield advantage in football. It isn't the astronomically, insurmountable figure that people believe that it is.
In response to:

Romney Momentum in Swing States

ResistWeMuch Wrote: Oct 19, 2012 3:47 PM
"Hartford/U Conn; Obama + 3% [D + 8%] " Did you look at the sample? It's a riot. Democrats: 47 Republicans: 39 Independents: 15 What a joke! 15% Independents? LOL.
If WI goes R, he will have also won OH.
The WI poll is interesting because it has a 6 point swing in R's favour on economic issues.
Romney doing better in early voting in Iowa than any other R previously. Florida: R +5 Virginia: R +3 Ohio: O +1 OHIO (look at the dates and then the trend): PPP (D+4).....10/12 - 10/13....Obama-51......Romney-46......Obama +5 SurveyUSA (D+7).....10/12 - 10/15......Obama-45......Romney-42.....Obama +3 Rasmussen Reports (D+5)......10/17 - 10/17.....Obama-49.....Romney-48......Obama +1 Gallup: Last 3 days: R +6, R +7, R +6 So, you really think that the majority of swing states are going to buck the national trend if Romney is winning by more than 3-4 points nationally? Really?
"Can you guys believe that despite the overall poll numbers Obama still leads in the majority of swing states that will decide the election?" RCP has taken FL, VA, and CO out of the toss-up column and moved them to R. PPP (a Dem poll) has R +1 in Iowa, post-debate 2nd debate, 49-48. PPP’s last poll in Iowa was Obama up 7. Eight point swing since post-DNC. PPP has R +1 in NH (PPP says "Democrats need to accept debate this week was not a big game changer) Ras has O at +2 in WI, but with a -6 swing toward R on economic issues. Ras: R +11 in MO, which McCain only beat Obama by +0.1%. Reason-Rupe: Obama only has a +15 lead in CA (R won't win CA, but O at ONLY a +15?)
Death of the Obamabots http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/10/death-of-obamabots.html M2RB: Blue Öyster Cult
" The crime rate will spike the night of November 6th and go on for months. Too bad it will count as part of President Romney's crime stats." Not for 2012. Besides, the year-to-year crime rate jumped for the first time last year since 1993. Both violent and property crimes went up by an average of 15%. http://nation.time.com/2012/10/17/survey-violent-crimes-rose-18-in-2011/?lid=edit
NumbersMuncher ?@NumbersMuncher While Ras WI poll stayed at O+2 from last week, on the issue of the economy it went from O+1 last week to R+5 today. That’s no small thing.
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