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Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample

requiescat in pace Wrote: Oct 31, 2012 6:21 PM
"I don't see how Obama can hope to win any state where pollsters need a +13 D sample to get him a 4 point lead. " Clever pollsters! They skillfully incorporate convicted felons, illegal aliens and ghosts into their sample.

Behold, Franklin and Marshall's new poll of Pennsylvania:

Before we get to the internals, notice the basic trend line.  This month, Mitt Romney broke into the mid-40s, while Obama dropped back into in the upper 40s.  Remember a political rule of thumb: An incumbent with universal name recognition who is polling below 50 percent is typically seen as vulnerable. Now, a slightly deeper dive.  Mitt Romney leads independents by 16 points in this poll, 48/32, with 10 percent undecided.  If the Republican ticket looks well-positioned to...