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A New Prediction for the Electoral Map (and the All-Important Contest for Porn Star Endorsements)

Reginald10 Wrote: Aug 08, 2012 2:31 PM
Pennsylvania (etc.) is not a Union of its counties or other sub-units. Therefore there is no need to consult each county to be sure that its interests are represented. The United States ARE a union of sub-units, the very States mentioned in the name. Therefore, each of the States is entitled to be consulted severally on such matters as officers (President, ambassadors, etc.) and legislation; through the States' representatives, which were the Senators. I completely concur that the 17th Amendment should be repealed, and the election of Senators be returned to the States' governments; that their interests be protected.

Two months ago, I predicted that Obama would win reelection with 297 electoral votes, 27 more than needed.

Last month, I shifted Virginia to Romney’s column and predicted Obama would still win, but with 284 votes.

Today, with just three months to go, I’m guessing the election will be even closer. In my latest electoral map, I’m moving Colorado from the lean-Obama category to the lean-Romney category. This leaves Obama with a lead of just 275-263 in the electoral college.

Now let me preemptively deal with some complaints and criticisms.

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