In response to:

For Dems to Win House, Obama Must Rise in Polls

RedRum Wrote: Feb 18, 2013 10:17 AM
I agree. It could be likely that Obama is at a "high-point" for his 2nd term popularity - hence the efforts to quickly get gun control, immigration reform, stimulus spending, cap-and-trade and other liberal wish list items done so soon. Sure, Reagan was very popular in 1986, but the GOP did lose control of the Senate that year. Clinton's popularity equalled no Senate gains and only a handful of House gains in '98. We also know that Presidential unpopularity must also be ginned-up (look at the machine Dems unleashed on Bush in 2005), and the GOP and its allies must do the same to Obama and Congressional Dems. I think the biggest detriment to Dems (besides Obama) is the prospect of Nancy Pelosi returning as Speaker.
Barack Obama has said that he wants to help Democrats win back a majority in the House of Representatives. He says he looks forward to Nancy Pelosi being speaker again.

If he does work hard to elect House Democrats, it will be a change from 2010 and 2012, when he didn't do much at all for them.

But let's say he does. What are the chances of success?

Certainly not zero. Democrats need to gain 17 seats to win a House majority of 218. That's fewer than the number of seats that changed party in 2006, 2008 and 2010.

And let's...