In response to:

CNN Poll of Swing States: Romney 51, Obama 43

rauljg6 Wrote: Jul 03, 2012 2:15 PM
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/presidential-polls/
DinCO Wrote: Jul 03, 2012 5:26 PM
Get a grip Raul. The outcome of the Poll depends very much on the demographics of those polled. It is interesting to note that CNN traditionally over-polls Democrats (meaning that they include a higher percentage of Dems in their polls than the general electorate). So, to bring you a small dose of reality - if the CNN poll shows Obama in trouble, YOU might just want to pay a bit of attention.

There's lots of contradictory polling floating around today, so let's try to unpack some of it.  We'll begin with the 'battleground' numbers teased in the headline:
 

President Obama remains marginally ahead of Mitt Romney in a new national CNN/ORC International poll released on Monday, although Romney leads Obama in the 15 states identified by the network as battleground states. Obama leads Romney nationally, 49 percent to 46 percent, with 4 percent of those surveyed saying they would vote for another candidate or neither candidate. That is inside the poll's margin of error, and it is...