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You left out the word "elected". That word makes a lot of difference.
I like you Katie but I think you may be a little off on the analysis on this one. Axelrod is clearly talking about Hillary and the team she is building and warning her not to take things for granted.
Except it would take a multi year project with several billions in investment to get the infrastructure in place to supply Ukraine. With war with Russia being a possibility what oil company is going to want to make that investment now?
I am no fan of Obama's by any stretch but I agree with him on Russia. A weak desperate country with a massive military and nuclear arsenal is not a formula for peace for the west. A destabilized Russia could see military coups that take over different regions. Any tin pot dictator becomes a force to reckon with when they have nukes. There is too much instability surrounding Russia right now with the middle east troubles. No president suggested getting into an armed conflict with Russia except kennedy when the Russians tried to bring nukes to this hemisphere. It sucks for Ukraine but we shouldn't be contemplating a shooting war with Russia over a border war in Asia.
In response to:

U.S.-Russia Clash in Ukraine?

rama Wrote: Feb 03, 2015 4:51 PM
A lot of these posts keep comparing the situation to Neville Chamberlin and appeasement. The thing they keep missing is NUKES! If Germany had nukes back then and the rest of the world knew it they would have said "sorry about your luck Poland" even if they had nukes themselves. Nukes change the whole dynamic of the conversation. Their presence means that you need to have a contained conflict a la Afghanastan, Vietnam, Iraq, etc except with a vastly more well armed opponent on the other side fighting from just over the border. Some one tell me the winning strategy here.
In response to:

Stormy Weather and Politics

rama Wrote: Feb 03, 2015 4:16 PM
It's also ok in the context of the money surrounding this issue. Just as studies from Tobacco companies talking down the risks of smoking are rightfully questioned, so should any study where there is a tangible financial benefit that comes from drawing a specific conclusion. Ask scientists who have been skeptical about either the breadth of climate change or the amount of blame to assign to mankind for those changes. Osteracism, firings, refusal to review their work. Being skeptical has been proven to be a sure career ender in the field of climate scientist regardless of how well they conducted and defended the actual science. On the flip side there seems to be unlimited resources to conduct hundreds more studies which pay salaries, fund books etc. I'm not saying that all climate scientists are charlatans but you can't look just at their stated results without taking into account the pressure they face to have conclusions come down on man-caused climate change.
In response to:

U.S.-Russia Clash in Ukraine?

rama Wrote: Feb 03, 2015 1:54 PM
We might as well just deliver those weapons directly to Russia. If we deliver them to Ukraine Russia will just roll in there with what is still the largest tank army and the largest Air Force outside of the U.S. and the Ukrainians will fold. Then the Russians will own those weapons. Unless we are willing to commit our full military might to this fight we won't win there and will get a lot of Ukrainians killed in the process. Since that won't happen we just need to mind our own business and let these border skirmishes play out. Border wars have always happened historically when nations break apart the way the Soviet Union did.
In response to:

Poll: Jeb Bush Leading Republicans For 2016

rama Wrote: Dec 29, 2014 4:21 PM
Funny. Every poll 've seen with Romney and other potential Republican nominees has Romney running away with the nomination. He is the also the only one who is at least in the ballpark in hypothetical matchups with Hillary. He's not my personal favorite but I don't see how he stays out of the race.
In response to:

Poll: Jeb Bush Leading Republicans For 2016

rama Wrote: Dec 29, 2014 3:56 PM
Where was Mitt Romney in that poll?
I sometimes go over to Daily Kos to check out what they are saying and every commenter in every thread relating to the CRomnibus is against this as well, just for different reasons. If the liberals and the conservatives are against this, how the hell is it passing? I can tell you how. Short Memories. They are relying on the public not remembering this two years from now when we will presumably have had another war or two, more scandals and more civil unrest. Unfortunately their political calculus is probably right.
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