In response to:

Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

Quix Wrote: Nov 08, 2012 5:11 PM
He did not justify being completely wrong--he was not talking about the model--he was talking about you and your illogical and unreasoned responses. Did you not actually read the article?

In the last week or so, an intense kerfuffle broke out over the poll-prognosticator Nate Silver and his blog at the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight. Silver, a statistician, has been predicting a decisive Obama victory for a very long time, based on his very complicated statistical model, which very, very few of his fans or detractors understand.

On any given day, Silver might have announced that -- given the new polling data -- "the model" was now finding that the president had an 86.3 percent chance of winning. Not 86.4 percent, you fools. Not 86.1 percent, you Philistines. But 86.3 percent,...