In response to:

The Particulars of Polls

Phoenomagus Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 11:05 AM
I say we start a movement. Everyone that gets polled, simply lies to the pollster. We will expose the salivating media that uses the latest poll to try and create a sensational and meaningless headline. Creating headlines is the way they try and control the feelings and thought of the viewers, or at least believe they can. My remote works just fine. When I see a talking head, or reporter, raise their voice or eyebrows, I know that facts and substance have just been abandoned.
pow1000 Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 11:07 AM
When I was younger I lied too. Now I just say "none of your business".
pow1000 Wrote: Oct 01, 2012 11:08 AM
So I dont put much stock in polls at all.
As a recovering pollster (I worked for Democratic pollster Peter Hart from 1974 to 1981), let me weigh in on the controversy over whether the polls are accurate. Many conservatives are claiming that multiple polls have overly Democratic samples, and some charge that media pollsters are trying to discourage Republican voters.

First, some points about the limits of polls. Random sample polling is an imprecise instrument. There's an error margin of 3 or 4 percent, and polling theory tells us that one out of 20 polls is wrong, with results outside the margin of error. Sometimes it's easy to spot such an...