After a few weeks spent tracking down and questioning pollsters and the reporters of polls, I can assure the reader that pollsters are the modern-day alchemists. They promise to turn numbers into predictive gold. We'd all like to believe these magical powers exist, but we shouldn't. The pollsters of 2012 just don't know who is going to win in November any more than did the pollsters of 1980 know that Ronald Reagan was headed towards a landslide in that late-breaking year.
The only important vote--the Electoral College vote--seems to be moving even more in Obama's direction. Today, he is predicted to win with 347 electoral votes, with only 270 needed to win. This is what happens when you get a compromising, flip-flopping, technocratic candidate running on alleged "competence." As George F. Will nailed it early in the year, the GOP has found its own Michael Dukakis.
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