In response to:

7 Questions That Will Determine the Outcome of the 2012 Election

Paulus Textor Wrote: Oct 27, 2012 2:12 PM
Most polls that focus on electoral votes (aka the only votes that count) have Obama winning by a razor-thin margin, with maybe 270-290 electoral votes (270 are required to win). This conjures up some possibly interesting scenarios. Either Romney or Obama could win the meaningless popular vote, but still lose in the electoral college. If Obama wins the popular vote, but loses the electoral vote, would he put up some insane constitutional fight? Another scenario could have a tiny handful of electors deciding to switch their votes. Maybe one or two Obama electors switch to the Green candidate, throwing the election to Romney. Or, maybe a few Romney electors switch to Gary Johnson, throwing the election to Obama.
Paulus Textor Wrote: Oct 27, 2012 2:17 PM
Most states have laws allegedly requiring the electors to vote the way the popular vote went, but such laws would never stand constitutional review. The state legislatures are granted the power to CHOOSE electors in whatever manner they please. They do not, however, have the power to command the electors how to vote (otherwise, why even have electors in the first place?).

Electors have switched votes in past elections, and their votes have never been challenged. For example, libertarian candidates like Roger MacBride and Nancy Lord received electoral votes in previous elections.
Paulus Textor Wrote: Oct 27, 2012 2:19 PM
I could see a scenario in which either Romney or Obama seems to "win" in early November, but then finds out, when the electors actually cast their votes, that they lost because two or three electors changed their minds.

The debates are over, and although most of my fellow pundits were quick to tell us before they started that historically they don’t impact the eventual outcome, this time they certainly have.

This race hasn’t been the same since the first debate. Mitt Romney’s rout of a beleaguered and bored-looking Barack Obama dramatically altered the trajectory of the race from leaning strongly to the president to a toss-up/leaning Romney. The president bounced back somewhat in the second debate, and was much stronger in the final debate Monday night, but he’s still not been able to regain the momentum he lost...