In response to:

Don't Blame Romney

Mike596 Wrote: Nov 09, 2012 11:49 AM
How's this for something that ought to churn the stomach of every Republican: in 2012, turnout was down approx. 10.6M compared with 2008. Much hay has been made of the fact that Romney received almost 2M less votes than McCain received in 2008, and people incorrectly assume that the base was less enthusiastic. Not so if you look at the individual state data. In fact, 4.9M of the decreased turnout was attributable to CA & WA, 2 states that no one would ever consider "in play". Here's the rub: Obama won WA by approx. 271K votes; Romney got 312K votes less than McCain in 2008. If every Republican that voted for McCain would have come back for Romney, WA's 11 electoral votes could've gone red.
Brian953 Wrote: Nov 09, 2012 1:12 PM
Not "... that voted for McCain would have come back for Romney ..." inasmuch as what they would have, or would not have done is no longer in doubt.

Rather, "... that voted for McCain HAD come back for Romney, ..."
Mike596 Wrote: Nov 09, 2012 12:04 PM
Finally, OH turnout was down compared with 2008 for both parties (in spite of the fact that everyone knew it would be the decisive state). Obama's margin was only 103K votes; Romney received 86K less votes than McCain did in 2008, and Obama got 243K less votes than he received in 2008. Republican turnout would have only had to increase modestly over 2008 and it would have been won. It is completely inexcusible for OH Republicans that voted for McCain in 2008 stayed home in 2012 knowing the importance of the state! The point is, Republicans should never stay home regardless of how blue they think their state is. If it was important enough to vote for McCain in 2008, it should have been important enough to come back for Romney this...
Mike596 Wrote: Nov 09, 2012 11:56 AM
In the case of CA, overall turnout decreased by almost 4.1M votes compared with 2008; Obama got 2.7M less votes than he did in 2008, and Romney got 1.4M less votes than McCain did in '08. If every Republican that voted for McCain in 2008 would have come back for Romney, and if they could have picked off 25% of the 2008 Obama voters that stayed home this time, CA (and its 55 electoral votes) would have gone red too. If Romney could have pulled out surprise wins in those 2 deep blue states (WA would have been a cake walk and CA would've required some effort), Romney would be the next president.

We spent billions of dollars and billions of words on an election to switch from President Obama, a Democratic Senate and a Republican House to President Obama, a Democratic Senate and a Republican House.

Every election predictor was wrong, except one: Incumbents usually win.

Republicans have taken out a sitting president only once in the last century, and that was in 1980 when Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter. Sadly, Reagan's record remains secure.

The Democrats ran up against the incumbency problem in 2004. The landslide election for Democrats in 2006 suggests that Americans were not thrilled with...

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