In response to:
Mitt will win in a landslide. Bet on it. You heard it here first.
As one who polled the 2008 presidential race extensively, it dawned on me, looking at the various "swing state" surveys taken recently, that many pollsters might be making a significant error that results in President Barack Obama with a lead, when perhaps the lead in reality belongs to Mitt Romney.
When surveys are conducted, the people who are interviewed are randomly selected registered (in a good poll) likely voters who are willing to respond. But that just begins the process. Those responses must then be "weighted" or allocated based on some projected model of past or future voter turnout strength. In other...
Electoral votes (the only votes that count), will give Obama an advantage, no matter what: California, New York, and Illinois are absolute locks, and represent over 100 electoral votes, with only 270 needed to win.
To win the electoral vote, Romney HAS TO sweep almost all the "swing states": OH, PA, FL, MI, CO, VA. Right now, he trails in all of them. It wouldn't hurt to get a few surprises, too, like OR, WA, or NM.
It's an uphill battle. Not impossible, but difficult.
I agree that the majority of these folks you mention will not vote for Romney, but I also know many of them won't put down their bong and get off the couch to vote. 2008 was an abnormality.
The "Hope & Change" delusion that motivated the young, the lazy, and the delusional, just isn't there anymore.