In response to:

Nate Silver's Numbers Racket

Mag14 Wrote: Nov 07, 2012 2:48 AM
DevlinCarnate Wrote: "Reading comprehension..." "Call it "comfort" if you want, but he's saying it's luck." ''m not saying Silver's just lucky or shoveling garbage.' - Goldberg I don't think I want lessons on reading comprehension from you, thank you all the same.

In the last week or so, an intense kerfuffle broke out over the poll-prognosticator Nate Silver and his blog at the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight. Silver, a statistician, has been predicting a decisive Obama victory for a very long time, based on his very complicated statistical model, which very, very few of his fans or detractors understand.

On any given day, Silver might have announced that -- given the new polling data -- "the model" was now finding that the president had an 86.3 percent chance of winning. Not 86.4 percent, you fools. Not 86.1 percent, you Philistines. But 86.3 percent,...