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Prophets and Losses

Macroman Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 7:34 AM
This is an uncharacteristically useless column by Sowell. Of course the Fed is bad at economic forecasting. So is everyone else. Forecasts must be made and action must be taken. A useful criticism would have done two things: (1) explained how he would improve economic forecasting and (2) explained what system of monetary control he would use instead of a central bank.
Texas Chris Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 9:40 AM
The Austrian School Economists sigularly predicted the housing collapse 8-10 years before it happened. Ron Paul has entries in the congressional record saying Freddy and Fanny were going under... Peter Schiff... Bob Wenzel... Tom Woods... Bob Murphy...

And they ALL blame the Fed.
evie10 Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 9:31 AM
useless only to those who cannot understand the point - that the Fed is being held to a lower standard than anyone else while at the same time being held up as a paragon with way too much control of our every day life.
Texas Chris Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 9:42 AM
The Fed has a standard? And when was the audit to which that standard is compared?
MacQ - Texas Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 9:15 AM
"Uncharacteristically useless"....another way of saying it went over your head?
anonymous11042 Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 9:00 AM
What would you recommend oh exalted know it all? You missed the entire point of the article. Now read it again and your tiny progressive mind MIGHT begin to understand Dr. Sowell's point.
hvogel Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 7:55 AM
1) Dr. Sowell's point wasn't how to improve economic forecasting. It was the idea that the Fed's forecasts should be trusted above any others. Too many people put faith in the Fed's numbers simply because they're the Fed and because so many in government tout the predictions.

2) Put the U.S. back on the gold standard.
Texas Chris Wrote: Feb 05, 2013 9:41 AM
2) Not "put the US back on the gold standard" but simply repeal legal tender laws. That'll do it.
Now that the federal government is playing an ever larger role in the economy, a look at Washington's track record seems to be long overdue.

The recent release of the Federal Reserve Board's transcripts of its deliberations back in 2007 shows that their economic prophecies were way off. How much faith should we put in their prophecies today -- or the policies based on those prophecies?

Even after the housing market began its collapse in 2006, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said in 2007, "The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to...

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