In response to:

NBC Swing State Polls: It's All Over, So Just Give Up

Luke126 Wrote: Sep 14, 2012 3:07 PM
I could (and have) write a long dissertation why things are much worse for President Obama than people like NBC would have you believe, but here's a short two-pointer: 1. There is a huge "lie factor" in play here. Especially among Obama's core, minority demographics. They tell pollsters what they think the "party" would want them to say but will vote otherwise. 2. There is a marked drop in enthusiasm. People who would brave rain, snow and sleet to vote for "The One" in 2008 will now find other things to do like wash their hair or vacuum the dog rather than bother to vote. Some may even switch allegiance. Either way it will hurt Obama.
Drifter33 Wrote: Sep 14, 2012 3:10 PM
Obama's twice-downsized gala convention (which finished up financially in the red) bears out your statements.

Obama's up by seven in Ohio, and five in Virginia and Florida -- all bigger margins than the Hopenchange sweep of 2008 --  so all is lost, Republicans.  Do yourselves a favor and pack it in now.  Not so fast, cautions Allahpundit:

The Democratic turnout advantage in this model would be only a point less in Virginia and Florida than it was at the apex of Hopenchange in 2008, and in Ohio it would actually be two points greater. That’s not happening in November, but O’s lead in each state is wide enough here...