In response to:

4 Reasons To Believe That Mitt Will Win The Election Next Week

loadstar Wrote: Nov 02, 2012 12:05 PM
I agree about the vagaries of polling, especially in an age of cell phones...we will not answer land line calls we do not recognize. Also, I am CERTAIN that O's supposed "personal popularity" is overestimated...when pollsters ask if people approve of or like Obama, many say , "Oh yeah, sure..." But REALLY they fear being seen as "racist" if they express their TRUE feelings. It might prove to be an update/new iteration of what they called "the Bradley Effect."
kathybgc Wrote: Nov 02, 2012 1:44 PM
I would hope by this point most would have gotten over the 'racist' copout only used by losers to explain why they are losers. If Obama depended only on minority votes, he never would have been elected. Sadly there were enough folks who were deluded by his hopey/changey schtick. They didn't vote for him because of his multiracial backgroud. They voted for what they though he could deliver. Many will still vote for him. Many will not and it's not because they are racists. It's because, he's a failure.

In 2008, most knowledgeable observers on both sides of the aisle thought that Barack Obama was going to win the election against John McCain handily. In fact, out of the 15 big name pollsters, bloggers, and columnists who called the election beforehand with some specificity, 14 called it for Obama and 13 predicted he'd win in a walk with more than 300 electoral votes.

This year there has been a lot more disagreement because of discrepancies in the polling data. Long story short, the state polls and national polls don't match up. Moreover, Gallup and Rasmussen seem to...