In response to:

Obama's Numbers Went Down, but Romney Never Inspired Voters to Vote

LAPhil Wrote: Dec 27, 2012 10:19 AM
Dan, I think your analysis is at least as good as anyone else's I've seen. Can you believe all the Monday morning quarterbacking going on with this election? Everyone's got a different theory about why Romney lost.
In combing through the results of the 2012 election -- apparently finally complete, nearly two months after the fact -- I continue to find many similarities between 2012 and 2004, and one enormous difference.

Both of the elections involved incumbent presidents with approval ratings hovering around or just under 50 percent facing challengers who were rich men from Massachusetts (though one made his money and the other married it).

In both cases, the challenger and his campaign seemed confident he was going to win -- and had reasonable grounds to believe so.

In both elections, the incumbent started running a barrage...