By now, many of you can probably recite my near-weekly presidential polling sample admonition by heart. For the uninitiated, I'm often skeptical of 2012 presidential polls that rely on partisan sample breakdowns that skew heavily toward Democrats. For instance, the NYT/CBS and NPR polls I broke down last week featured D+6.5 and D+7, respectively. The argument I frequently employ is that 2008's wave election -- a multi-decade high point for Democrats -- produced a D+7 electorate, according to the final exit polls. Barack Obama won that election by 6.5 percentage points. In 2010's midterms, the final exit polls showed...
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