In response to:

Pollsters May Have Fatal Flaw in Obama Romney Numbers

karpe diem Wrote: Aug 02, 2012 12:45 AM
do not underestimate Romney, he is clean as a whistle while obama has concealed so much of his criminal past that i am surprised anyone will vote for him. romney has nothing to hide, and obama cannot dig in his files, as he did to prior opponents in chicago revealing divorce files that were sealed and child custody files that were also concealed. he used ugly tactics to win his senate seat and the presidency. we still do not have the reason why obama and michelle surrendered their law licenses, days before they were going to be disbarred.
As one who polled the 2008 presidential race extensively, it dawned on me, looking at the various "swing state" surveys taken recently, that many pollsters might be making a significant error that results in President Barack Obama with a lead, when perhaps the lead in reality belongs to Mitt Romney.

When surveys are conducted, the people who are interviewed are randomly selected registered (in a good poll) likely voters who are willing to respond. But that just begins the process. Those responses must then be "weighted" or allocated based on some projected model of past or future voter turnout strength. In other...