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Final CNN Poll: Deadlocked at 49, Despite D+11 Sample

JPK2 Wrote: Nov 05, 2012 2:07 PM
The CNN poll over-sampled Dems by 11 points. In 2008, Dems turn-out was +8 over Republicans. This can only mean that either CNN is consciously over sampling Dems, or that they believe the Dem turn-out tomorrow will be even higher than 2008 (every unlikely). And if CNN had to grossly over sample Dems in order to get a tie, how bad will Obama get beat when he has to face the music tomorrow? Mitt will win tomorrow in a near landslide victory. His coat-tails will propel a net gain of 7 seats in the Senate and 8-12 in the House.

Say, has anyone mentioned this race looks pretty close lately?  Oh, that's right -- everyone has.   CNN's last national poll before Judgment Day shows the race tied at 49, with a D+11 partisan sample.  This assumes Democrats will improve upon their extraordinary 2008 turnout by four percentage points.  There's a word for this.  It's "ludicrous."  CNN's previous national poll gave Obama a three-point lead, so it suggests the GOP nominee is gaining steam.  In light of the mind-blowing sample, how is the race even close, let alone tied?  

(1) Independent voters are...